The Rude Awakening Wall Street, New York Thursday, May 11, 2006 ------------------------- - Pocket some Vegas-like profits playing volatility in
a record breaking bull market,
- Options strategies for beginners and seasoned players
alike,
- The "car of the future," your daily market data and
more...
--- Special Investment Alert --- Warning: This Is Not for the Timid or Profit Shy! Starting with just $400, a pizza delivery boy created a $200 million fortune. He then taught his secrets to 14 lucky average Joes and Janes. Just five years later, the Wall Street Journal reported they had racked up $150 million in profits! Now you can benefit from the same kind of secrets - for your chance to make the same extreme gains. It's so simple, you will barely lift a finger doing it. If you have the courage and fortitude for this kind of trading, you can get in on this virtually effortless opportunity. http://www.isecureonline.com/Reports/RTA/ERTAG508 ------------------------- The Road to Gold $3,000 By Eric J. Fry While awaiting that delightful Armageddon that might propel gold to $2,000 or $3,000 an ounce, we gold bulls will certainly endure a large number of "down days." We will suffer through harrowing price declines that will produce large mark-to-market losses...and anguish. The True Believers among us will "buy the dips," but many of our weaker brethren will panic and sell. Happily, there may be a middle road: Selling naked or "covered" options. Naked refers to selling options without any other related position – e.g., selling calls on Newmont Mining without also owning the stock. Selling covered options is exactly the opposite – e.g., selling calls on Newmont Mining while OWNING the stock. Selling options, either puts or calls, can provide SOME protection against loss, while also dampening portfolio volatility. Most individual investors simply buy puts or calls, as a means of leveraging their bets, while strictly limiting their potential losses. And this tactic works exactly as advertised: winning option trades can produce sizeable gains, while losing options trades can produce no worse that the cost of the option itself. Buying stock options, therefore, is as sexy and thrilling as playing a Vegas craps table...But it can be almost as dangerous. Some craps players win big, but the vast majority lose. Only the House wins consistently. The same is true in the options game. But there's a big difference between betting on a roll of the dice and betting on options. In the options markets, any player can become "the House." Any investor, in other words, can choose to SELL options rather than buy them. 
Selling options is even sexier and even more thrilling than buying options, but can also be much more dangerous, which is why very few individual investors dare to attempt it. But selling options in limited quantities and in selective situations can reduce a portfolio's overall risk. Option-selling strategies function best amidst very volatile market conditions. That's because high volatility produces high option prices, which is exactly what an option-seller loves to see. The gold market has been quite volatile of late, which has created high volatility among gold stocks, and boosted the implied volatility of call options on gold stocks. In other words, the price of options on gold stocks is rising because the EXPECTED potential price movements of gold stocks is also rising. 
Not surprisingly, therefore, placing a bullish bet on the HUI Index of gold stocks has become a very pricey proposition. The September 400 calls on the index cost more than $38, even though the index itself is only trading at the 394-level. Therefore, based on intrinsic values, the index must soar to 438 by the middle of September for the buyer of this option to break even. That would be an 11% advance. Given that the HUI has already rallied 40% so far this year, another 11% may no be so difficult to achieve. On the other hand, it might be. The timorous gold bug, therefore, could buy the HUI Index (or a comparable basket of gold stocks) and sell the September 400 calls, pocketing $38 in the process. If gold stocks continue to rally, the option seller would make up to 11% in four months, but no more than that. On the other hand, if gold stocks faltered, the option seller would still keep his $38, as a partial protection against the loss on his falling gold stocks. A much gutsier – and much more dangerous – means of placing a bullish bet on gold stocks would be to SELL put options. Since we consider such strategies suitable only for the most sophisticated of investors, we will not even describe the tactic in detail today. Rather, we would merely point out to those who already execute such trades that put option prices on many gold stocks are quite high right now. Do with this information what you will...and Godspeed to you. [Tomorrow's column will provide a brief primer on naked option-selling, and illustrate the tactic with one or two high-flying resource stocks]. Throughout the 1990s, as many Rude readers may recall, the gold market was a tranquilized lion. The world's central banks and bullion banks fired so many sell orders into the poor beast that it barely retained a pulse. But the tranquilizers are wearing off...and the sellers are running out of darts. As this ferocious feline continues shaking off her stupor, she will roar very loudly (and she might even maul those who have been holding her down). As the volatility increases, so will the opportunities to sell pricey options. [Joel's Note: "I've never seen anything like it," remarked a Rude colleague just a few days ago. "And it's not like the guy is long only...he's played both up and down and made all the right calls, at the right times." Selling silver calls just off their recent high gave Kevin Kerr's readers the chance to bank some very handsome profits. For the last two years he's been trailblazing the commodity markets, using call and put options to deliver Vegas-like returns on crude, gold, silver, corn, sugar...you name it. Now you can take advantage of the recent volatility in the commodity markets and increase your profit potential by investing just four minutes a week. Learn how right here: Increase your exposure to profits http://www.agora-inc.com/reports/RTA/ERTAFB23 --- Special ---
America's Top-Ranked Financial Newsletter Says: The Petroleum-Free Car of the Future WON'T Run on Hydrogen or Ethanol Whatever you do, don't follow the Wall Street crowd into the hydrogen fuel cell myth. Forget ethanol, too. Getting rich from the end of cheap oil means investing in the REAL solution to America's oil addiction. Buy in now -- before investors realize the mistake they're making and come flooding in. Readers who followed similar advice had a chance to rake in average gains of 64% last year... and 62% the year before that. But even bigger profits could lie ahead. http://www.isecureonline.com/Reports/OST/EOSTG562 ------------------------- 
------------------------- |