The Rude Awakening Laguna Beach, California Tuesday, June 06, 2006 ------------------------- - This filthy fossil has been cleaning up its act...is
it time for you to act too?
- A 250-year supply right in your own backyard,
- Scientists go to work on Laguna's best assets and
plenty more...
------------------------- Eric Fry, reporting from Laguna Beach, CA... "I can't believe you just beat us," an incredulous 23-year-old said to your slightly older New York editor, while shaking hands after a game of beach volleyball. "Yeah, I can't believe it either," your editor smiled, savoring his fourth straight victory on the sands of Laguna's Main Beach. Sometimes, thankfully, sheer youthful athleticism is no match for experience...and a residual athleticism. "So when are you moving out here," the 23-year-old inquired. "Pretty soon," your editor replied. "Cool. You gotta keep coming down here. We play a lot of weekdays around 3:00." "I'll keep that in mind. Thanks." ...This casual inter-generational exchange seemed to typify life in Laguna Beach. Throughout the town, 40-somethings and 20-somethings co-exist seamlessly with one another. In fact, they sometimes resemble one another. A few 40- something mothers look very much like they could be the 20- something sisters of their teenage daughters. Formerly an artsy town where hippies and Hare Krishna once roamed, Laguna Beach has become strikingly materialistic. But even so, a hint of the casual costal "vibe" remains. It is still a place where fathers and sons sometimes team up together on volleyball courts; a place where mothers and daughters sometimes surf the same waves; a place where Harvey Wallbanger-drinkers occupy barstools alongside Mojito-drinkers...And Laguna is still a place where chardonnay-sipping Baby Boomers circulate through the town's many art galleries on "First Thursday" – pretending to love art – alongside body-pierced Gen-Xers. To be sure, the casual co-existence between the generations may not be as relaxed as it appears to an outsider...but an unreal sense of timelessness and agelessness seems to permeate the town. Perhaps the soothing cadence of coastal living deserves most of the credit for blurring the generational divide...and for prolonging the youthful demeanors of the over-40 crowd. But let's not forget to give credit to Orange County's numerous plastic surgeons... While hanging out at a Laguna coffee shop one sunny morning, your editor remarked to a friend, "You know, even though I've spent a lot of time here over the years, I don't recall ever seeing such a large quantity of pretty females milling about." "Yeah, it's a little odd, isn't it?" the friend replied. "But that's what you get when you combine a privileged lifestyle...with year-round sunshine...with an absolutely Greek commitment to physical beauty...with one of the highest per capita plastic surgery rates in the country." "Hmmm...that makes sense," your editor shrugged. "But am I supposed to be appalled or delighted?" The friend refused to answer the question; forcing your editor, instead, to decide for himself whether the triumphs of science over nature – in this particular instance – merit scorn or applause. We suspect that the impulse to scorn or to applaud cosmetic surgery depends mostly upon one's core philosophical beliefs...or one's zip code. In 92651, the Laguna Beach zip code, breast augmentation appears to receive a standing ovation. But while plastic surgeons are busily augmenting breasts along the California coastline, a handful of innovative individuals and companies are busily augmenting America's domestic energy supplies. Just like plastic surgeons, these energy-innovators are devising ever-more-ingenious ways to convert something old into something new. Dan Denning shares the details below... --- Special Investment Alert --- Warning: This Is Not for the Timid or Profit Shy! Starting with just $400, a pizza delivery boy created a $200 million fortune. He then taught his secrets to 14 lucky average Joes and Janes. Just five years later, the Wall Street Journal reported they had racked up $150 million in profits! Now you can benefit from the same kind of secrets - for your chance to make the same extreme gains. It's so simple, you will barely lift a finger doing it. If you have the courage and fortitude for this kind of trading, you can get in on this virtually effortless opportunity. http://www.isecureonline.com/Reports/RTA/ERTAG509 ------------------------- The Newest Old Thing, Part II By Dan Denning Coal is plentiful...Coal is cheap...Coal is dirty. Select the one attribute that does not conform with the other two. If you selected "coal is dirty," you chose the correct response. But what if coal were cleaner? It would still be plentiful, of course. But it probably wouldn't be as cheap. That's the reason we like coal. A new generation of "clean- coal" technologies could increase demand for this filthy fossil fuel, thereby causing its price to rise...perhaps dramatically. Coincidentally, no country stands to benefit more from clean-coal technologies than the United States. We've got a 250-year supply of the stuff. Surely, we'll figure out an effective – and clean – way to use it. "Throughout the 20th century, the United States has been a profligate energy consumer," a couple of U.S. Army researchers assert. "The rapid and expansive growth of the economy was based on cheap and abundant energy. Little thought and planning has been given to how to transition to the realities of the 21st century, when petroleum and natural gas resources will become depleted. The U.S. economy uses 50% more energy per unit of GDP than the other developed nations of the world (EIA 2004). The fossil fuel- based, automobile-centered, throwaway economy is not a viable model for the United States or the rest of the world over the long term. It is not sustainable." I agree. Quite obviously, an economic model that relies heavily upon cheap energy is not sustainable in a world of expensive energy – the world we have already entered. As the price of crude oil trudges inexorably higher, our energy-intensive economy will seek viable alternatives. Renewable sources like wind, hydro and bio-fuel will certainly play a role. But one of the most viable alternatives is not really an alternative at all...it is coal. New technologies have created new opportunities for this plentiful, but scorned fossil fuel. The governor of Montana, Brian Schweitzer, has made the creation of coal-gasification and liquefaction plants a veritable mission. He is convinced that creating liquid fuels from coal is the answer to our energy dependence problem and that "cleaning it" through gasification (the removal of harmful ingredients) will help solve coal's obvious environmental problems. It bears mentioning that both China and India have made coal gasification and liquefaction projects high priorities in their respective national energy strategies. When George Bush signed a deal with India to help that country develop the energy its economy needs to grow, it was front-page news. What didn't make the front page was that a Coal Working Group formed between the two counties is co- developing technologies to exploit coal-bed methane, coal gasification and liquefaction, and other clean-coal-related technologies. And what would an analysis of global energy trends be without asking what China is up to? China's government is hard at work with research institutions to develop proprietary technology for coal liquefaction and gasification. China would also like — and desperately needs — to cut coal emissions. It has, in fact, made a zero- emissions coal-fired power plant one of its goals. Whether China, or any country for that matter, can finally clean up coal is open to debate. What I like about the whole debate, though, is that it's one of the few industries I see out there in which technology actually can lead to cleaner, more efficient, use of abundant hydrocarbons. I'm not talking wind or solar here. I'm talking about the more efficient and cleaner use of an abundant energy resource. While Montana has been grabbing all the coal-related headlines, Wyoming has been gaining celebrity as the setting for a love story between two strapping young sheepherders. But did you know that Wyoming produces over 35% of the nation's coal? Wyoming's coal is of the bituminous variety. That is, it is not as dense as the anthracite coal of eastern Pennsylvania. It has fewer Btu per ton. But because it has fewer Btu, it means it also has less sulfur. That makes Wyoming's cheap and abundant coal some of the cleanest burning coal in the country. And for a country that's about to embark on a second love affair with the industrial prowess of coal, cleaner-burning coal will be very popular. General Electric, for one, is acutely quite interested in Wyoming and the 400 million tons of coal the state exports each year. Why? GE owns the patent on a coal-gasification technique that's used in over 60 coal-gasification plants worldwide. That process removes usable gas from coal without the harmful emissions. The gas can then be used to generate power. The whole process is called the integrated gasification combined cycle, or IGCC. It's the Holy Grail of the coal industry. Get cleaner gas from the rock using a special process, then use that cleaner gas to generate power for man, the economy, and the state. If you're talking Wyoming coal — the kind that can be surface mined or strip-mined by giant machines, then you're talking about the Powder River Basin. The Powder River's bituminous coal may not have as much energy (Btu) per ton as anthracite. But what it lacks in energy intensity it makes up for in the ease with which it can be recovered. It does not require an army of miners digging in an underworld of mines. You simply unleash a machine that tears the earth apart. And because it's in Wyoming, with one of the lowest population densities per square mile in America, it's not going to offend too many people, although it may disturb the sheep. What's the strategic energy investment we're after here? The answer is Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU). With 9.8 billion tons of proved and provable coal reserves in 36 countries all over the globe, BTU is a coal colossus. It also owns and operates the North Antelope Rochelle complex, which was the No. 1 producing coal mine in American in 1984, at 82 million tons. With total production of 192 million short tons of coal in 2004, Peabody was the largest producer in America, cranking out 17.3% of the nation's coal. At $60 a share, the stock trades for about 16 times next year's earnings. It's also coming off a recent correction...and might continue to correct. I like the stock below $60...and love it below $50. The story with BTU really is about as simple as it gets. As natural gas production declines and reserves deplete, more coal will have to be produced to run the nation's existing power plants. Add to that the number of new coal-fired plants on the books and you have even more increased demand for low- sulfur Wyoming coal. Am I worried that BTU is also Jim Cramer's favorite coal stock? A little. But Cramer is mad, not stupid. And even a madman gets it right from time to time. [Joel's Note: As always, we would love to hear just what you have to say about this, the newest old thing. Send your energetic thoughts to aussiejoel@the-rude-awakening.com and check out more of Dan's own thoughts right here: Strategic Investment http://www.agora-inc.com/reports/DRI/EDRIFB05 --- Special --- America's Top-Ranked Financial Newsletter Says: The Petroleum-Free Car of the Future WON'T Run on Hydrogen or Ethanol Whatever you do, don't follow the Wall Street crowd into the hydrogen fuel cell myth. Forget ethanol, too. Getting rich from the end of cheap oil means investing in the REAL solution to America's oil addiction. Buy in now -- before investors realize the mistake they're making and come flooding in. Readers who followed similar advice had a chance to rake in average gains of 64% last year… and 62% the year before that. But even bigger profits could lie ahead. http://www.isecureonline.com/Reports/OST/EOSTG604 ------------------------- |